政府投资公益性项目全过程风险研究

Research on the Risk of Government Investment in Whole Process of Public Welfare Project

政府投资公益性项目组织关系复杂,参与主体众多。为降低项目风险、减少损失以及控制成本,基于风险管理和全生命周期管理理论,首先对公益性项目各阶段风险事件进行识别以及风险因素和其所属主体进行分析;通过构建公益性项目全过程风险管理体系,并运用故障树分析(FTA)方法对全过程风险进行定性和定量分析。研究表明:在公益性项目全生命周期内,项目外部环境、计划制定不合理、运营管理方式不当、项目维护不当、业主方管理不当等因素是导致政府投资项目风险事件的主要因素,基于此提出相应的风险应对措施,同时为政府投资决策提供了更丰富的信息。

The organization relationships of government investment in public projects are complicated,with many participation subjects.In order to reduce project risk,cut loss and control costs,this paper based on the risk management and the whole life cycle management theory to carry out research.Firstly,the risk events in each stage of public project identification,risk factors and the subject analysis.Through the construction of the system for the whole process of risk management of public welfare projects,and the use of fault tree analysis（FTA）method for qualitative and quantitative analysis on the whole process of risk.Research shows that during the whole life cycle of public welfare project,the external environment of the project,planning unreasonable,improper operation management,project improper maintenance,the owner mismanagement and other factors are the main factor,which lead to the government investment project risk events.Based on this,we puts forward the corresponding risk response measures;at the same time provide more information for the government investment decision-making.