开放的历程及其对改革的影响

History of opening-up and its influence on reform

以功能耦合与分岔图理解中国开放的历程,1978年至今的开放大致经历三个阶段。第一阶段自1978年至2001年,"请进来"。前期至1989年,主要是思想上的引进,因与国情不符和缺乏经济基础而夭折。1992年后引进项目、技术和资本。2001年开放进入第二阶段,核心是与国际接轨和全面融入全球化,中国成为世界工厂。中国在接受全球化之利之时,未充分预见由此带来对自身发展的负面影响。2008年金融危机,世界进入分岔点,中国的开放进入第三阶段,第一次出现开放与改革不同步,非出于自身意愿,以及不可控。一带一路和亚投行,开启中国开放的第四阶段。新的开放面对前所未有的复杂状况和不确定因素,即使在理想状况下也会有副作用。取法乎上,站在世界和历史的高度,以人类命运共同体的视野看待一带一路和亚投行。

The opining-up in China comprises three stages. The first stage from 1978-2001 was the period of introduction. The introduction of ideology in the first half of this period founderde as a result of the mismatch of national conditions and lack of economic base. In the second half,more projects,technology and capital were introduced.Starting in 2001,the second stage focused on the integration into globalization and becoming the world factory.Though globalization was a great boon for the country China failed to anticipate the adverse effect it would bring.The financial crisis in 2008 marked the dawn of the third stage. In this stage,opening-up and reform didn't keep step. The'One Belt,One Road'initiative and the launch of AIIB symbolized the beginning of the fourth stage.In this period,opening-up is confronted with many uncertainties. It is believed that the'One Belt,One Road'and AIIB will enhance international cooperation to jointly build a community of common destiny for all mankind.