摘要
利用1991—2014年卫生部监测点定点调查资料和五普、六普中相关数据,研究婴儿死亡率随时间变化规律以及在不同时间和空间范围内婴儿死亡率随人均GDP、城市化水平发生变化的规律。然后根据这些规律,估算2010年我国各地城乡、男女婴儿死亡率分布情况。分析发现,我国婴儿死亡率随时间呈现等比下降的规律,而其与城市化水平、人均GDP等经济社会变量亦有关系,但不甚稳定,预测和模拟偏差较大。分析发现,六普中,我国婴儿死亡漏报率为68%,主要发生在农村及欠发达地区。
Using the survey data by Ministry of Health and the fifth and sixth population census, the paper studies on the changing rates of infant mortality, which are affected by times, places, GDP per capita, and levels of urbanization. By the change rule, the infant mortality rate distribution of male and female infants can be estimated. It is found that the infant mortality rate is decreasing and is related to other economical and social variables, and it is unstable. In the sixth population census, 68%infant mortality failed to be declared, which took place mainly in the rural areas.
出处
《人口与社会》
2016年第3期67-75,共9页
Population and Society
基金
全国哲学社会科学基金项目"六普生命表和人口死亡率的分析研究"(15BRK009)
关键词
婴儿死亡率
人口普查
人口统计
城乡差异
保健水平
城市化水平
人均GDP
infant mortality rate
population census
population statistics
differences between urban and rural areas
health level
level of urbanization
GDP per capita
