京津冀一体化背景下德州市农产品基地研究

Research on the Agricultural Products Base in Dezhou City under the Integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei

优质农产品供应基地是德州市对接京津冀一体化的重要功能定位。运用多元回归分析法对德州市2000—2014年农业总产值与13种农产品产量综合分析得出:粮食、蔬菜、肉类、禽蛋、奶类、生猪、羊、家禽8种农产品与德州市农业总产值相关性较好,其中粮食、生猪对其农业总产值影响最大;德州市农产品基地中存在结构层次低、现有农产品供应类型与京津冀消费者需求层次不相匹配等问题,并在此基础上进一步提出了相关建议。

Supply base of high-quality agricultural products is an important function of the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei and Dezhou docking positioning. Through the multiple linear and stepwise regression analysis of the agricultural output value and the output of agricultural products in Dezhou City, it was analyzed that grain, vegetables, meat, eggs, milk, pig,sheep, poultry were in positive correlation with Dezhou agricultural total production value. Grain and live pigs had the largest agricultural output value. Low level of structure and unmatched existing agricultural products supply with consumer demand in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei existed in Dezhou agricultural base. Related suggestions were put forward.