能力结构、合作机制与我国长江流域经济一体化研究——一个尝试性的实证分析框架

Research on the Economic Integration of Capability Structure and Cooperative Mechanism in Yangtze River Areas——A Framework of Empirical Analysis

文章对长江流域地区能力结构进行实证分析。研究表明,长江流域总能力最强的是上海,最弱的是贵州;长江下游地区总能力最强且要显著地强于流域其他地区,其次是中游地区,最后是上游地区,但中游和上游的能力差距并不是很大;能力结构接近均衡的是下游和上游地区,但上游地区是一种"弱均衡",而最不均衡的是中游地区。因此,长江流域经济一体化合作可以选择生态保护与可持续发展、国内价值链的构建、中心和外围的对接、产业分工与合作等领域着重开展,而短期政策应以缩短经济距离为主,长期政策则是以提高经济密度、减少经济分割为主,关键是提升长江中上游地区的能力,缩小与下游地区的能力差距。

In this paper, the author tries to make an empirical analysis of capability structure in Yangtze River regions. The investigation shows that Shanghai is the strongest in Yangtze River regions, and the weakest is Guizhou province. The area of the lower Yangtze River is significantly stronger than other regions, and then middle-upper region of the Yangtze River is the last one. But the capacity gap is not great between middle and upper areas; and finally the capacity structure of upstream areas and downstream areas is almost same, but the upstream area is a ＂weak equilibrium＂, and the most uneven is the middle area. Therefore, economic integration of capability structure and cooperative mechanism around China＇s Yangtze River can be developed from the fields of ecological protection,sustainable development, building of domestic value chain, industrial division and cooperation. However, short-term economic policy should focus on shortening the distance-based; and long-term policy should base on improving the density of economic and reducing segmentation of economy. The most important mission is to enhance the capacity of the middle and upper areas of Yangtze River region in order to narrow the gap between the upstream area and downstream area.