我国八大区人均GDP及城市化对居民国内旅游的影响

Effects of Per Capita GDP and Urbanization on Domestic Tourism Development in China's Eight Regions

经济增长与城市化是推动国内旅游发展的两大驱动力,为揭示其对国内旅游的影响,对2001—2014年中国内地30个省份(除西藏外)的面板数据进行单因素和多元回归分析。研究结果显示:(1)人均收入与城市化促进居民出游率增长,人均GDP每增加1 000元,城市化率每提高1百分点,出游率分别增加2.877,2.388百分点;(2)人均收入与城市化促进居民人均旅游花费增长,人均GDP每增加1 000元,城市化率每增加1百分点,人均旅游花费分别增加28.848,25.621元;(3)将30个省份划分为八大区域,构建了两组18个多元回归模型,发现在各大区域之间存在一定差异。此外,陕西和甘肃因资源丰富,位置优越,居民出游率较高,人均旅游花费较低,此为地理环境带来的外部溢出效应。

Economic growth and urbanization are two driving forces of domestic tourism. In order to reveal the specific impact,this article selected hybrid data of 30 provinces（ except the Tibet） from 2001 to 2010 for the single factor and multiple regression analysis. The results showed that：（ 1） Per capita income and urbanization rate promote residents＇ travel rate. Per capita GDP increases 1 000 Yuan,the travel rate increased by 2. 877%. Urbanization rate increases 1%,the travel rate increased by 2. 388%;（ 2） Per capita income and urbanization rate promote residents＇ per capita tourist spending. Per capita GDP increases 1 000 Yuan,the per capita tourist spending increased by 28. 848 Yuan. Urbanization rate increases 1%,the per capita tourist spending increased by 25.621 Yuan;（ 3） Classifying 30 provinces into 8 regions,building 2 groups and 18 regression models,and found that there exist differences in each region. In addition,Shaanxi and Gansu because of the abundant resources and location,the travel rate are higher and the per capita tourist spending is lower. It is the external spillover effect of the geographical environment.