城市轨道交通网络演化和形成影响因素研究

Research on Mass Transit Network Growing and the Determinants of Network Formation

对城市轨道交通网络演化的动力学进行分析,将影响城市轨道演化系统的的因素分为3种成分:随机成分、可预测成分、受控成分;引出城市轨道网络演化的自组织演化效应和规划演化效应;对规划演化效应中的城市常住人口、财政收入水平和城市建成区面积3个因素与城市轨道线网规模的关系进行了分析。

Analyzing system dynamics of mass transit network, we define the three factors that inlluence the mass transit development as： random component, predicted component, controlled component. The self-organization evolution effect and planning evolution effect of mass transit network are introduced. Finally, this paper explores the potential relationship between urban rail line network scale and urban resident population, cities＇ fiscal income, urban area. by regression analysis.