居民长距离交通出行方式选择行为研究

Residents of Long-Distance Transportation Mode Choice Behavior Research

为研究出行者个人特性和出行特性对居民出行方式选择的影响,以居民长距离出行交通方式选择为对象,运用非集计模型中多项Logit(MNL)模型的基本理论与方法,利用SPSS软件对模型进行参数标定和检验,分析各因素对居民长距离出行的影响。结果表明:模型的拟合优比度和精度均达到要求,对居民的长距离出行选择研究具有实际应用价值,可为相关部门对于交通运输方式的结构调整提供参考。

In order to study travelers＇ personal characteristics and travel characteristics on the choice of residents＇ travel patterns,the paper take residents long distance travel mode choice as the object,using the basic theories and methods of multinomial Logit model（MNL）model in disaggregate model,using SPSS software to calibrate and test the parameters of the model,then analyze the impact of various factors on residents of long-distance travel.The results show：the odds ratio model and accuracy can meet the requirement,for the residents of long distance travel choice research has practical application that try to for the relevant departments to provide a reference for the adjustment modes of transportation structures.