中国对外直接投资的母国碳排放效应研究

The Home Country Effect Research of China' s OFDI on Carbon Emissions

本文选用2004～2013年我国30个省市自治区（除西藏外）面板数据对中国对外直接投资的母国碳排放效应进行实证分析,结果显示,OFDI增加了我国的碳排放量,即OFDI每提高1%,人均CO2排放量增加0.012%左右。但此种效应存在明显的地区差异,即OFDI对中部地区碳排放增加效应明显高于西部,而东部地区碳排放效应为负且不显著;与此同时,经济规模、产业结构、技术水平、能源消费结构对我国碳排放量均产生显著影响。

This paper finds that OFDI has a significant positive impact on the carbon emissions by empirical analysis of 30 provinces＇ （Tibet excluded） panel data in China from 2004 to 2013. If the OFDI increases by 1%, C02 emissions per capita will increase by about 0.012%. However, this effect is proved with region variance. That is, the positive effect of OFDI on China＇s carbon emissions appears higher in central China than western China while this effect appears negative and insignificant in eastern China. Meanwhile, it is found that GDP, industrial structure, technological level and energy consumption structure can significantly influence China＇s carbon emissions.