中国人口城镇化对居民生活消费的时空影响研究

Research on the Spatio-temporal Influence of Population Urbanization on the Consumption of Residents in China

通过建立人口城镇化与居民生活消费的完全分解模型，对全国31个省级行政区2000-2014年人口城镇化与居民生活消费的8个子项目消费增长进行了定量测度。结论如下：①中国的消费增长最主要是受人均消费水平的提高所致，人口城镇化推动作用居于次要位置。②人口城镇化对全国消费增长贡献比例越来越小，而且呈现出东部地区的城镇化推动消费增长作用越来越小，而西部地区在逐年波动上升。③从消费结构来看，城镇化对食品、文娱、交通通讯和衣着消费推动作用较大。

This paper, through establishing the complete decomposi＇tion model of population urbanization and living consumption, measured growth of living consumption and its 8 subsidiaries project with regard to the 31 provinces population urbanization and living consumption from 2000 to 2014. Conclusions were as follows： （1） China＇s con-sumption growth was mainly caused by the level of consumption per capita, by population urbanization impetus in the secondary position. （2） The contribution that population urbanization made to the national consumption growth was less and less. And it showed that the push of urbanization in eastern region for consumption growth was decreasing, while that of western region was rising in volatility. （3） From the point of consumption structure, urbanization played a larger role in promoting consumption of food, culture, education and entertainment, transportation, communications and clothing etc.