2013年甘肃岷县-漳县M_S 6.6级地震及非传统方法的回顾性预测讨论

Retrospective Discussion of Prediction by using Nontraditional Methods for the 2013 Minxian-Zhangxian M_S 6.6 Earthquake in Gansu

简述了2013年7月22日甘肃岷县漳县M_S6.6级地震。用节气、低点位移、异年倍七律和朔望等非传统方法,回顾性地讨论了M_S6.6级地震的临震预测。另外还用三性法、静中动非传统的中期预测方法对这次地震进行了回顾性的预测讨论。

This study briefly described the 2013 Minxian-Zhangxian M_S6.6 earthquake in Gansu province. It retrospectively discussed the imminent earthquake prediction of the M_S6.6 earthquake based on some non-traditional methods such as solar term, geomagnetic low point displacement, sevenfold rule in different years and syzygy, etc. Furthermore, the retrospective prediction for the earthquake was also discussed by using the non-traditional medium-term prediction methods： triplet method and ＂activity in quiescence＂ method.