冶金产业的能源消耗、污染排放与经济发展研究——基于灰色关联的实证分析

Research on Energy Consumption, Pollution Emissions and Economic Development of Metallurgical Industry——An Empirical Analysis Based on Grey Correlation Criterion

本文收集了冶金产业2002至2013年三废排放量、能源消耗量等9项指标,运用灰色关联理论,对冶金产业的能源消耗、经济增长对环境污染排放的影响程度进行了实证分析,得到的结论是:(1)冶金产业的能源消耗、经济增长与污染排放之间的灰色关联度(平均值0.8057)都是显著的;(2)冶金产业煤炭消费量大,能源结构的失衡,是其三废污染排放量大的主导因素。该研究成果对于调整冶金产业能源消耗结构,减轻污染排放,促进传统工业转型提供一定的参考。

this collection metallurgical industry in 2002 to 2013 three wastes discharge quantity, energy con-sumption, and so on nine indicators, using grey theory, energy consumption of metallurgical industry, economic growth, pollution emissions on the environment to the influence degree of the empirical analysis, obtains the conclusion is： （1） the metallurgical industry, energy consumption, economic growth and pollution emissions betweenthe grey correlation degree （average 0.8057） are significant, （2） the metallurgical industry, coal consumption, the imbalance of energy structure, the large amount of discharge of the three wastes pollution the dominant factor. The results of this study can provide some reference for adjusting the energy consumption structure of metallurgi-cal industry, reducing the emission of pollution and promoting the transformation of traditional industries.