山东省CO_2排放与城镇化、国际化之间关系研究

Study on Relationship Among CO_2 Emissions,Urbanization and Internationalization in Shandong

城镇化、国际化发展带来环境问题引起人们关注.基于此,利用山东省1995-2012年的样本数据,运用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型研究城镇化、外商直接投资与CO_2排放量之间长、短期关系.研究表明,人均CO_2排放量与人均外商直接投资(FDI)、城镇化以及人均能源消费量之间存在协整关系.长期看,城镇化进程造成了对环境污染;外商直接投资并未造成对环境破坏,反而在一定程度上促进了山东省产业结构调整;能源消费量与CO_2排放量呈正比.

People have concerned the environmental problems caused by the development of urbanization and internationalization.Therefore,using the ARDL mode to explore the long-run and short-run relationship among urbanization,FDI（Foreign Direct Investment）and CO2 emissions in Shandong province from 1995 to 2012.We conduct an econometric analysis and find there exists long stability cointegration relationship among per capita CO2emission,per capita FDI,urbanization and per capita energy consumption.In terms of long run effects,urbanization causes the pollution of environment.FDI does not bring pollution to the environment,on the contrary it plays positive effects on the adjustment of industrial structure in Shandong province.Energy consumption exhibits positive impact on CO2 emissions.