2016年上半年棉花市场形势及展望

Cotton Market in the First Half of 2016 and Its Prospect

2016年以来,中国棉花市场出现了一些新情况。棉纺企业库存水平下降,棉花、棉纱进口量大幅下滑,纺织品服装出口有所恢复,储备棉投放成交率极高。国内棉花供需格局阶段性偏紧,皮棉价格先跌后涨,国际棉价窄幅震荡。展望下半年,国内棉花产量将继续下降,国际棉花供需宽松,储备棉出库将放缓,外棉冲击减弱,供需大格局无明显变化,国内棉价将窄幅震荡。

Since 2016, there have been some new situations in China＇s cotton market. The inventory of cotton enterprises has dropped, the imports of cotton and cotton yams have fallen sharply, the exports of textiles and clothing have restored, and the transaction of cotton reserves was in a high rate. The supply and demand pattern was tight in domestic cotton market, the price of lint cotton raised after a first fall, and the international cotton price fluctuated within a narrow range. Looking ahead, the domestic cotton production will continue declining, international cotton market will be in an oversupply situation, the supply of cotton reserves and the impact of foreign cotton will reduce, the supply and demand pattern will have no significant changes, and the domestic cotton price will fluctuate in a narrow range.