出口企业“退出效应”的检验与机理研究

Empirical Test and Mechanism of the “Exit Effect”of Exporters

企业退出出口市场行为会对出口企业的整体生产率水平产生影响。将企业退出出口市场的行为放入企业的出口生命周期中进行考察,尝试性地提出影响出口企业整体生产率水平的"退出效应",并测算出1999—2007年间"退出效应"对整体生产率的提升约为2.7%。进一步地,用理论模型和计量检验的方法分析了企业退出出口市场的机理,认为生产性补贴和出口补贴会阻碍企业退出出口市场,并据此提出了相关政策性建议。

Exits from export markets of some enterprises will affect the total productivity level of the exporters group.This paper investigates exporters＇ exits in the lifecycle of export,attempting to put forward the ＂Exit Effect＂of exporters,which improves the total productivity level of the exporters group by 2. 7%. Moreover,this paper studies the mechanism of exporters＇ exits by theoretical model and econometric methods,drawing the conclusions that exogenous impacts will intensify the ＂Exit Effect＂while subsidies from government will weaken it,according to which some policy suggestions are presented.