我国城镇居民消费结构变化影响因素的实证分析

Empirical Analyses on Factors and Consumption Structure of Chinese Urban Residents

在拉动经济增长的"三驾马车"中,消费是最重要、最稳定的因素。后经济危机时代,解决居民消费有效需求不足成为经济决策的头等大事。文章从影响城镇居民消费结构的因素出发,利用典型相关分析方法,从经济发展水平、产业结构等多个角度构建了我国城镇居民消费结构影响因素的数据模型,从数量上把握消费结构与影响因素间的相关关系,并提出促进城镇居民收入长期稳定增长,增强居民消费能力;健全和完善社会保障体系,提高居民消费支出意愿;积极开展消费信贷,释放城镇居民消费需求等对策建议。

In the ＂troika＂ which stimulate economic growth, consumption is the most important and long-lasting motive force. After the ear of global economic crisis, how to solve the lack of effective consumption demand has become a top priority for economic decision-making. The paper starts from the impact factors of consumption structure, then based on canonical correlation analysis, constructs the model of the factors and consumption structure of Chinese urban residents. Grasped the correlation between consumption structure and factors, it promotes suggestion to speed up the optimization and upgrading of consumption structure of urban residents.