江苏省新型城镇化下公路交通需求分析

Analysis of Highway Traffic Demands under New-type Urbanization in Jiangsu

结合相关课题研究解读了江苏省新型城镇化的阶段特征及空间特征,采用定性与定量相结合的方法,分析了交通需求的变化趋势。研究表明,新型城镇化下,交通需求总量持续增长但增速放缓,中短途城际交通需求比例将快速增长,城际交通铁路分流影响较大,但公路主导地位仍保持不变。此外,文章还对江苏省典型地区的交通需求变化趋势作了分析。

This article interpreted the feature of new-type urbanization in Jiangsu. It analysed the trends of the traffic demands with qualitative and quantitative method. The results showed that, the traffic demand remained increasing with a sustained speed; the traffic demand of middle and short distance would grow rapidly; the intercity railroad would occupy a large proportion in the whole traffic demand but the highway would still play a dominant role. Moreover, this article still analyzed the traffic demand of each typical area in Jiangsu province.