人民币汇率波动对中国出口商品结构的影响分析

Analysis on the Influence of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on China's Export Commodity Structure

从人民币实际有效汇率波动趋势和我国出口商品结构现状出发,建立时间序列模型分析人民币实际有效汇率波动对我国出口商品结构存在的影响。实证结果表明,人民币实际汇率升值有助于我国出口商品结构的改善。并结合当前我国出口商品结构存在的问题,提出了改善我国出口商品结构的建议。

Starting with the fluctuant trend of the RMB real effective exchange rate and the current conditions of the export commodity structure,this paper constructs a time series model which aims at analyzing the influence of fluctuation of RMB real effective exchange rate on the export commodity structure.The empirical analysis results show that the appreciation of the RMB real exchange rate is favorable to the improvement of Chinese export commodity structure.Finally,this paper puts forward some suggestions to improve China＇s export commodity structure based on the results and the problems existing in the present export commodity structure.