城镇化对居民生活能源消费的影响分析

The Impact of Urbanization on the Living Energy Consumption

居民生活能源消费与城镇化进程密切相关,利用1983-2012年数据对二者进行实证分析,发现二者存在长期均衡稳定的关系,同时二者表现为双向格兰杰原因,且城镇化对居民生活能源消费的影响更大。误差修正模型的结果不仅表明城镇化对居民生活能源消费具有影响,也表明了居民生活能源消费同样受其自身的影响。方差分解的结果证实城镇化发展对居民生活能源消费具有长期正向影响的作用,以此提出推进城镇化建设政策建议。

Household energy consumption and the process of urbanization, is closely related with from 1983 to 2012 data for empirical analysis, found that there exists a stable long-run equilibrium relationship between the two, and two performance for bidirectional Granger causes and effects of urbanization on household energy con？sumption more. The error correction model the results not only show that urbanization has influence on household energy consumption, also shows that the residential energy consumption is also influenced by its own. variance decomposition results confirm the long-term impact of urbanization on the consumption of energy consumption, in order to promote the construction of urbanization recommendations.