5EL- ERIAN M. Navigating the new normal in industrial countfies[Z]. The Per Jacobsson Lectture, 2010.
6MATSUSAKA J, SBORDONE A. Consumer confidence and economic fluctuations[ J]. Economic Inquiry, 1995,33 (2) :295 - 320.
7MOUROUGANE A,MORENO. Can confidence indicators be useful to predict short term real GDP growth? [Z]. ECB Working Paper No. 133,2012.
8HARRISON S,WEDER M. Did sunspot forces cause the great depression? [J]. Journal of Monetary Economics,2006,53 (7):1327- 1339.
9TAYLOR K B,MCNABB R. Business cycles and the role of confidence: evidence for Europe[J]. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statis- tics,2007,69 (2) : 185 - 208.
10MEBRA Y,MARTIN E. Why does sentiment predict household spending? [J]. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Quarterly, 2003,89(4) :51 -67.