于田绿洲社会经济可持续发展研究

Analysis of Sustainable Development of Social Economy in Yu-tian Oasis

以耗散结构理论为基础,根据现有数据,建立了于田绿洲社会经济系统可持续发展状况评估的指标体系。并运用信息熵计算法,对于田绿洲社会经济系统的可持续发展状况进行分析。结果表明,11980-2010年,于田绿洲社会经济系统的总熵变波动变化,但整体上处于下降趋势,说明于田绿洲社会经济可持续发展状况良好;21980-2010年,系统的熵产生指标中,第三产业生产总值、农牧民人均纯收入和第二产业总产值的权重最大;在系统的熵流指标中,地方财政支出、农村用电量和化肥使用量的权重最大。

Based on the dissipative structure theory as the foundation, according to the existing data,established the evaluation index system of sustainable development of social and economic system of the Yutian oasis. And using information entropy method,evaluated and analyzed the sustainable development of social economic system of Yu-tian oasis.The results show that11980-2010,the total entropy of the socio-economic system in Yu-tian Oasis becomes fluctuations,but on the whole is in a downward trend,indicating the development of social economy system is relatively stable in Yu-tian oasis; 21980-2010,the index of entropy production of the system,the weight of the third industry Gross domestic product,per capital net income of farmers and herdsmen and the second industry output value is maximum.