民族地区人力资本对经济增长的贡献分析

Study on Effect of Human Capital on Economic Growth of Minority Areas

以甘肃少数民族自治地区2001-2013年数据为样本,借鉴了Cobb-Douglas和Lucas生产函数,利用"岭"回归和主成分回归分析方法进行了人力资本诸变量的参数估计。研究结果表明,物质资本和人力资本对地区经济增长的贡献之和仅占11.79%,经济增长主要依靠消费拉动,财政投入并未形成有效的物质和人力资本贡献。相比较而言,人力资本存量对经济增长的贡献率最低,人力资本水平对经济增长的贡献相对较高。人力资本结构与水平对增长的贡献没有层次性差异。应当从以比较优势优化产业结构、进一步提高基本公共服务均等化程度和完善劳动力市场方面入手,提高民族地区人力资本的增长贡献。

Taking the data of ethnic minority autonomous region of Gansu province in 2001-2013 data as sample, according to the Cobb-Douglas and Lucas production function, paper uses the ＂ridge＂ regression and principal component regression methods to estimate human capital variables parameter. The results show that the contribution accounting of physical capital and human capital to regional economic growth is only 11.79%, consumer-driven economic growth is mainly, and financial investment cannot form effective contribution in physical and human capital. In comparison, the human capital contribution to economic growth is the lowest, and contribution of human capital level to economic growth is relatively higher. Different levels of human capital and human capilal structure on economic growth have no significant effect. From three aspects to increase the contribution of human capital for economic growth on minority areas, which include the optimizing of industrial structure from comparative advantage, the improving of basic pubhc services equalization and the improving of labor market.