有偏技术进步抑制中国劳动就业了吗?

Has Biased Technical Change Depressed China's Employment?

技术进步对劳动就业的影响历来备受争议。利用超越对数生产函数对中国1978-2014年的数据加以检验后发现,中国的技术进步呈现为希克斯资本偏向型,并且资本偏向型技术进步能够促进中国劳动就业总量的扩大,其根本原因在于资本偏向型技术进步有利于加速资本积累。但是,在短期,资本偏向型技术进步仍然不利于低技能劳动就业,为此,宏观经济政策应该以促进劳动就业为核心,积极发挥已有劳动密集型产业的就业"稳定器"功能,在此基础上有序推进技术进步和产业升级。

It has always been controversial on the effect of technological progress on employment. Base on trans-log production function,we tested China＇s economic data from 1978 to 2014,and we found that China＇s technological change has been Hicks＇ capital-biased type,and the technological change of this type has expanded China＇s total employment. The reason is capital-biased technological change accelerate capital accumulation. However,in the short term,capital-biased technological change would depress the employment of low-skilled labor.So,macroeconomic policies should keep employment promoting as the core,and firmly promote technological change and industrial upgrading,and make labor-intensive industries as job stabilizer function.