四种要素与经济增长的空间溢出效应分析

Analysis of the spatial spillover effect of four factors and economic growth

通过对1992-2013年我国30个省区面板数据模型的空间相关性检验,表明经济增长具有空间关联。进一步通过模型检验,最后确定使用空间随机效应和时间固定效应的空间杜宾模型来分析物资资本、人力资本、劳动力和全要素生产率对经济增长是否存在空间溢出效应。最终模型的间接效应值表明,物质资本的空间溢出效应较少小,劳动力和全要素生产率的空间溢出效应较为显著,人力资本的空间溢出效应不显著。

This paper inspected the spatial correlation of the panel data model for 30 provinces and regions from 1992 to 2013, and found that economic growth had spatial association. Testing models were then used to decide the use of Durbin model that has spatial random effect and time fixed effect to analyze the spatial spillover effect among physical capital, human capital, labor and total factor productivity with economic growth. Finally, the indirect effect values of the model showed that the spatial spillover effect of physical capital was small, the spatial spillover effect of labor and total factor productivity was significant, and the snatial snillover effect of human capital was not significant.