区域全要素生产率的影响因素研究——基于1998-2014年中国各省份面板数据的分析

Research on the Influencing Factors of Regional Total Factor Productivity:Based on an Analysis of the Panel Data of Chinese Provinces from 1998 to 2014

文章首先从理论上分析了区域全要素生产率(Total Factor Productivity,简写为TFP,下同)的可能影响因素,对各因素选取了相应的相对指标作为代表,将其直接纳入C-D生产函数模型,并利用1998-2014年中国各省份的面板数据进行回归分析。结果表明:非国有经济部门比重的提高,是TFP提高和经济增长的最重要因素,科技投入、劳动力结构、教育水平、外商直接投资和交通基础设施对TFP提高和经济增长都有显著的正向影响,但影响较小;中西部地区科技投入、交通基础设施和外商直接投资的增长幅度远低于东部地区,中西部地区TFP增长率低于东部地区,是导致中西部地区GDP增长率低于东部地区的重要原因。

This paper first analyzed the possible influencing factors of the regional Total Factor Productivity（ hereinafter TFP） theoretically, and selected corresponding relative indexes for various factors as representativesthat were directly included into the C-D production function model. On that basis, regression analysiswas carried out by using the panel data of Chinese provinces from 1998 to 2014. The results show that the increasingproportion of non-state-owned economic sectors is the most important factor for the growth of TFP andeconomy, while other factors like science and technology investment, labor force structure, education level,foreign direct investment and transportation infrastructure also have positive impact on TFP, but the impact issmall. The investment in science and technology, the transportation infrastructure and the foreign direct investmentin the central and western regions grow much more slowly than those in the eastern regions, and the TFPgrowth rate is lower than that in the eastern regions, which has resulted in that the GDP growth rate in the centraland western regions is lower than that in the eastern regions.