基于非对称误差修正模型的中国能源-经济-环境关系被引量：2

Regional Differences and Non-equilibrium Relationship Between Energy, Economy and Environment in China

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摘要 G、H和J省作为中国不同发展阶段、不同资源区域的代表,均存在能源消费到经济增长的长期协整关系,且均存在能源消费到CO2排放量的单向因果关系。从能源消费强度和碳生产率角度来看,G、H和J省能源消费增加1.00%将分别带动本地区0.76%、1.41%和1.44%的经济增长。当经济发展、能源消费的关系高于均衡状态时,G、H和J省将自发以0.064、0.039和0.240的速度回到均衡状态;当出现负偏离时,回到均衡的速度为0.042、0.023和0.110;在工业化阶段发展阶段,第二产业贡献率和能源利用效率越高,返回均衡状态的速度越大。 h was found that a long-run co-integration relationship exists from energy consumption to economic growth and unidirectional causality exists frum energy consumption to carhon dioxide emissions. Specifically, when the energy consumption incrases by 1% in the provinces of G, H and J, the economy will increase hy 0.76%, 1.41% and 1.44%. When the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption deviates greatly from the long-term equilibrium, these three provinces will spontaneously return to equilibrium at the speed of 0.064, 0.039 and 0.240; when the opposite situation occurs, these numbers will he 0.042, 0.023 and 0.11. In the development stage of industrialization, the higher the rate of the secondary industry＇ s contribution is, the faster the return speed will he.

作者徐阳何永秀

机构地区华北电力大学经济与管理学院

出处《中国电力》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第9期114-118,共5页 Electric Power

关键词能源经济区域差异非对称误差修正 energy economy regional differences asymmetric error correction model

分类号 X24 [环境科学与工程—环境科学] F426.2 [经济管理—产业经济] F124 [经济管理—世界经济]

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