农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长的影响及其分解研究——基于空间Durbin面板模型的实证分析

An Empirical Research of Effects of Rural Financial Market Openness on Agricultural Economic Growth and its Decomposition——Based on Spatial Durbin Panel Model

笔者在分析农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长作用机制的基础上,运用空间Durbin面板模型,实证分析了农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长的影响,并将其分解为直接影响和间接影响。研究发现,农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长具有显著的正向影响;农村金融市场开放对农业经济增长的间接影响远小于其直接影响;农业资本投入和农产品贸易对农业经济增长存在显著正向影响,农业劳动、技术创新对农业经济增长存在负向影响;农业劳动对农业经济增长具有显著的负向间接影响,农产品贸易对农业经济增长具有显著的正向间接影响。最后,笔者提出加快推动农村金融市场开放、提高农村劳动力素质、完善技术创新机制和农产品流通机制、促进金融资源在各区域间有效流动等政策建议。

On the basis of theoretical analysis of mechanism of rural financial openness on agricultural economic growth,this paper constructs a spatial Durbin panel model on effects of rural financial openness to agricultural economic growth,then divides into direct effect and indirect effect. The empirical analysis draws the following conclusions： rural financial openness has positive significant effect while the indirect effect is less than direct one. Agricultural capital and agricultural trade have positive significant effects,while effects of agricultural labor and technological innovation are negative. Finally,this paper advises to accelerate rural financial market opening,to improve the rural labor quality,mechanism of technology innovation and agricultural product circulation,and to promote efficient flow of financial resources in different areas.