空间集聚与体育产业增长的关系研究——基于SLM和SEM模型的实证

A Research on the Relationship between Spatial Agglomeration and Growth of Sports Industry——Based on SLM and SEM Model

笔者基于中国22个省域2003年~2014年体育用品制造业为样本的体育产业数据,运用空间计量模型,对体育产业产出的空间相关性进行了检验,估计了专业化集聚及主要投入要素对其产出增长的影响。结果显示,该行业的专业化集聚与产出增长显著负相关,劳动投入对产出增长的影响显著为正,资本对产出增长的影响不显著。某省域内与该行业产出有关的误差冲击会传递到邻近省域,并对该地区的行业产出产生显著负向影响。

Based on the data（ from 2003 to 2014） of sports goods manufacturing industry form 22 provinces in China,this paper uses spatial econometric models to investigate spatial correlation of this industry and estimate the effect of specialization agglomeration and the main inputs on its growth. The results show that： compared with the estimation results of OLS model and SLM model,the SEM is the best appropriate model for analysis. The specialization agglomeration has a significant negative effect on the growth of this industry.Labor input is positively related to the growth,while capital has no significant effect. The shocks which related to the growth of this industry in one province will shift to the adjacent provinces and has a significant negative effect on this industry.