提高软件开发项目定量预测模型准确率的研究

Research on Increasing Forecast Accuracy of Quantitative Forecasting Model for Software Development Project

在软件开发项目的质量控制过程中,进行定量管理的定量预测模型往往会遇到准确率过低的问题。预测模型工具本身的误差是导致预测失败的主要原因,研究了如何对定量预测模型的相关要素进行改进,以提高模型预测的准确率,并给出了解决该类问题的具体思路和方法。

Quantitative forecasting model for quantitative management often encounters the problem of low accuracy rate in the process of quality control of software development project. In line with the condition that the error of forecasting model instrument is the main cause of predicting failure, research was carried out on how to improve relevant elements of quantitative forecasting model in order to improve the accuracy rate of model prediction. Moreover, specific ideas and methods for solving such problems were provided.