摘要
从有条件的集中的观点,自从 1990,瓷器 GDP 生长率令人惊讶地高。然而,中国不能从全球历史的经验永远背离,并且人均的生长率是可能的每年来自整个 8% 很快掉到 3-4% 的一个范围。中国能被看作一个中间收入的集中成功故事,与哥斯达黎加,印度尼西亚,秘鲁,泰国和乌拉圭组织了。高收入的集中成功(向哪个中国多半正在出发) 包括智利,香港,爱尔兰,马来西亚,波兰,新加坡,南朝鲜和台湾。
From the perspective of conditional convergence, China's GDP growth rate since 1990 has been surprisingly high. However, China cannot deviate forever from the global historical experience, and the per capita growth rate is likely to fall soon from around 8 percent per year to a range of 3-4 percent. China can be viewed as a middle-income convergence success story, grouped with Costa Rica, Indonesia, Peru, Thailand and Uruguay. Upper-income convergence successes (toward which China is likely heading) include Chile, Hong Kong, Ireland, Malaysia, Poland, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan.
关键词
中国
集中
分散
经济生长
China, convergence, dispersion, economic growth