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“伊斯兰国”外线扩张:影响及前景 被引量:8

Trans-continental Expansion of the Islamic State: Impacts and Prospects
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摘要 "伊斯兰国"外线扩张,既为叙伊主战场危局所迫,又系其自身战略进取,形成了多方向、大跨域的"溢出效应"和战略影响,并触发国际恐怖主义分化重组和方略调整。就主战场危局而言,主要表现为战役战术回旋空间被大幅压缩,基层指挥员大量阵亡,财政状况恶化,武器弹药供应紧张,以及拉卡、摩苏尔被围困等。但反观"伊斯兰国"的价值追求和最高斗争目标,其外线扩张又属于主动和积极的战略进取。从外线扩张的范围看,"伊斯兰国"主要在伊斯兰世界和欧洲展开活动,但其影响已超越了上述地理区域。从效应看,外线扩张不但支援了巴格达迪率主力在叙伊战场的搏杀,还搅动北非、西非、东非、阿拉伯半岛、南亚、中亚、欧洲几无宁日。由于催生"伊斯兰国现象"诸因将长期存在,故"伊斯兰国"短期内恐难被消灭,国际反恐斗争任重道远。 The global expansion of the Islamic State group has triggered strategic realignments and readjustments in international terrorism. The influence of the Islamic State now extends far beyond the territory it has seized in Iraq and Syria.
作者 董漫远
出处 《国际问题研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第5期88-102,138,共15页 International Studies
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参考文献14

  • 1"Islamic State Group: Crisis in Seven Charis," BBC, August 3, 2016, http://www.bbc.com/ news/world-middle-east-27838034.
  • 2"Military Offensive Puts Economic Pressure on IS," The Regional Center for Strategic Studies, July 14, 2016, http://www.rcssmideast.org/en/Article/30876/Military-Offensive-Puts- Economic-Pressure-on-IS.
  • 3"Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant," Wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_ State of Iraq_and_Syria.
  • 4"Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi," Wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abu_Bakr_al-Baghdadi.
  • 5"Islamic State oflraq and the Levant," Wikipedia.
  • 6Trevor Timm, "The US is Bombing Libya Again, It's A Too-familiar Vicious Cycle," The Guardian, August 2, 2016, https://www.theguardian.corn/commentisfree/2016/aug/O2/us-bombing- libya-isis-strongholds-vicious-cycle.
  • 7U.S. Department of State, "Foreign Terrorist Organization Designation of ISIL - Khorasan (ISIL-K)," January 14, 2016, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2016/01/251237.htm.
  • 8"Hafiz Saeed Also in Charge of ISIS Attacks in Afghanistan, Says Afghan Govt," Yahoo, July 28, 2016, https://in.news.yahoo.com/hafiz-saeed-charge-isis-attacks-afghanistan-says- afghan-124036054.html.
  • 9“哈萨克斯坦警局遇袭事件被认定为恐怖袭击”,新华网,2016年7月20日,http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2016-07/20/c_129159312.htm.
  • 10"Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi: The Man Who would be Caliph," The Week, September 13, 2014, http://theweek.com/articles/443835/abu-bakr-albaghdadi-man-who-caliph.

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