基于新经济地理学视角的东亚经济一体化效应研究

Effect Analysis of East Asian Economic Integration:A Study from the Perspective of New Economic Geography

本文首先基于新经济地理学理论建立了三国自由资本模型,通过分析各国市场规模、比较优势、贸易自由度等因素对国家和区域产业份额及福利水平的影响,考察了区域经济一体化的效应及其作用机制。其次运用面板引力模型对理论模型的结论进行了实证评价,检验了东亚经济一体化对贸易、生产、投资领域以及社会福利水平的影响。最后在理论模型和计量检验的基础上,结合东亚区域经济崛起的客观事实,提出了深化东亚地区经济合作与发展的政策建议。

Based on the new economic geography theory,this paper firstly established a model of free capital flow among China,Korea and Japan. It then explored the impact of regional economic integration and its mechanism through analyzing how the size of market,comparative advantages,and diversification in trade freedom among the three nations influence their regional industrial share and social welfare. Secondly,the conclusion derived from our model was evaluated empirically by the panel gravity model and the effects of East Asian economic integration on the trade,production,investment and social welfare of these countries were also examined. At last,some policy recommendations for promoting the economic cooperation and development in East Asia were offered on the basis of the theoretical models and measurement test mentioned above,combined with the reality of the rapid regional economic growth.