基于灰色Verhulst模型预测韶关市生活垃圾产量

Based on Gray Verhulst Model to Predict Shaoguan Waste Output

以韶关市生活垃圾产量为研究对象,首先从官网收集了2000-2015年韶关市生活垃圾产量的原始数据;然后,建立灰色Verhulst模型,并用模型精度检验的方法检验其效果性,检验的结果表明:该模型的预测效果较好,可信度较高;最后,运用该数学模型来预测2016-2020年的韶关市生活垃圾量.

This article used Shaoguan waste output as the research object, with the data of Shaoguan City garbage production collected first from the official websites from 2000 to 2015; and then with the establishment of gray Verhulst model, to test its effects with model precision test methods. The testing the results show that the effect of the forecast model is better with higher reliability. Finally, the mathematical model could be used to predict the 2016-2020 Shaoguan City garbage volume.