摘要
为综合考虑高功率微波(high-power microwave,HPM)电子毁伤过程中涉及的各要素并给出特定概率下的毁伤程度分级,提出HPM武器电子毁伤效能的灰色-贝叶斯网络评估方法。通过分析HPM武器的电子毁伤过程,构建了毁伤的评估指标体系,并采用层次分析法和熵权法确定了指标权重;根据各指标的取值定义了基于隶属度的均匀评分规则,并以此为输入,借助灰色和贝叶斯网络理论,构建了HPM武器电子毁伤等级和毁伤概率评估模型,明确了干扰、削弱、损伤及破坏4种毁伤等级对应的评估值区间,计算了相应毁伤等级下的毁伤概率。最后通过算例进行了验证,效果良好。该评估方法对定量研究HPM武器的电子毁伤具有一定的参考价值。
In order to comprehensively consider all elements in the progress of high-power microwave (HPM) weapon's electronic damage and provide different grades of damage under certain probability, the gray Bayesian networks evaluation method HPM weapon's electronic damage is proposed. By analyzing the progress of HPM weapon's electronic damage, the evaluation index system of damage is established, and the analytic hi- erarchy method and entropy weight method are used to ensure the weight of each index. The uniform score rule based on the grade of membership according to each indexes value is defined, and with this entry HPM weapon's electronic damage rank model and damage probability model are built in virtue of the gray and Bayesian networks theory. The evaluation value intervals of four kinds of damage grades are provided, and the damage probability under certain damage grade is calculated. Finally, the method is verified by an example and the fine result is acquired. The evaluation method can provide certain reference value to quantitatively research HPM weapon's electronic damage.
出处
《系统工程与电子技术》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2016年第10期2317-2323,共7页
Systems Engineering and Electronics
基金
空装预研(402030104)资助课题
关键词
高功率微波武器
电子系统
隶属度
灰色理论
贝叶斯网络
毁伤评估
high-power microwave (HPM) weapon
electronic system
grade of membership
gray theory
Bayesian network
damage evaluation