图们江地区口岸物流与腹地经济的关系研究

The study on the relationship between the Tumen River Delta's port logistics and its hinterland economy

根据2004-2013年图们江口岸物流和腹地经济指标数据,运用灰色斜率关联度和灰色综合关联度分别分析了吉林省内和省外腹地经济指标与口岸物流的相关性,进一步采用多维灰色模型对全部指标的协同性进行了测度。相关性分析结果表明,腹地经济指标与口岸物流的相关性总体处于中等水平且相差不大。协同性分析结果显示,口岸—腹地系统不具备自我发展能力,并且存在部分不协调因素。据此,文章提出增加口岸过货量的对策。

Based on the data of the Tumen River Delta＇s port logistics and hinterland economic indexes,this article analyzes the correlation between port logistics and hinterland economic indexes,including that of Jilin province and other hinterlands by using the method of degree of grey slope incidence and Synthetic degree of grey incidence respectively.And it measures the coordination between port logistics and all indexes by using the method of GM（ 1,N）.The result of correlation indicates that the correlation is on the middle level and there is little difference among the indexes.The result of coordination shows that the port-hinterland system has no selfdevelopment ability and there are some uncoordinated factors.Accordingly,this paper makes some proposals to increase the port logistics.