社会保障,非农收入预期与宅基地退出决策行为——基于上海市金山区、松江区等经济发达地区的实证分析

Social Security, Expectation of the Non-agricultural Income and Decision-making Behavior of the Rural Residential Land Exit:Based on the Empirical Research on Developed Area of Jinshan District and Songjiang District in Shanghai

研究目的:实证分析政府主导宅基地退出的背景下,经济发达地区农户退出决策行为的影响因素,为制定相关政策提供依据。研究方法:农户调查法,统计分析法,Logistic回归分析法。研究结果:上海市郊区愿意将宅基地退出的农户所占比例高达66.91%;根据其作用程度,对宅基地退出决策行为具有显著影响的变量是有无城镇保障、非农收入预期、有无城镇住宅、安置区基础设施状况、补偿合理程度、宅基地区位状况及教育程度。研究结论:在上海市等经济发达地区,宅基地退出时机比较成熟,农户在退出宅基地后可以获得稳定的社会保障和非农收入,退出意愿较高。因此在宅基地退出的实践中,建议政府首先要充分结合实践地区的经济发展水平,完善社会保障体系,探索满足农户的合理预期收益的补偿标准,建立促进失地农户就业稳定和收入稳定的长效机制。

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact factors of the farmer＇s decision-making behavior to exit the residential land so as to provide the basis of formulating the relevant policies, under the background of government-led rural residential land exit. Methods of household survey, statistical analysis and Logistic regression analysis are employed in the paper. The results show that the proportion of households who are willing to exit residential land is about 66.91%. According to the effect degree, urban social security support, non-agricultural income expectation, urban residing ability,