摘要
In recent years, risk analysis techniques have proved to be a useful tool to inform dam safety manage- ment. This paper summarizes the outcomes of three themes related to dam risk analysis discussed in the Benchmark Workshops organized by the International Commission on Large Dams Technical Com- mittee on "Computational Aspects of Analysis and Design of Dams." In the 2011 Benchmark Workshop, estimation of the probability of failure of a gravity dam for the sliding failure mode was discussed. Next, in 2013, the discussion focused on the computational challenges of the estimation of consequences in dam risk analysis. Finally, in 2015, the probability of sliding and overtopping in an embankment was an- alyzed. These Benchmark Workshops have allowed a complete review of numerical aspects for dam risk analysis, showing that risk analysis methods are a very useful tool to analyze the risk of dam systems, including downstream consequence assessments and the uncertainty of structural models.
基金
support of the research project INICIA (Methodology for Assessing Investments on Water Cycle Infrastructures informed on Risk and Energy Efficiency Indicators
BIA2013-48157-C2-1-R
2014–2016)funded by the Spanish Ministerio de Economiay Competitividad (Programa Estatal de Investigación
Desarrollo e Innovación Orientada a los Retos de la Sociedad)