中国纺织服装业出口贸易合理度指数构建与优化研究

The Construction and Optimization Research of Reasonable Index of Export Trade of Chinese Textile Clothing Industry

本文通过构建出口贸易合理度指数和出口贸易结构指数,探讨中国纺织服装业出口贸易合理度和出口贸易结构的演变趋势。发现1995-2014年,中国纺织服装业出口贸易合理度指数和出口贸易结构指数整体都呈下降趋势,表明中国纺织服装业出口贸易合理度和出口贸易结构均出现恶化现象。从回归分析来看,不同的评价指数均对中国纺织服装业出口贸易结构指数具有重要的正面影响。其中,中国纺织服装业出口贸易FDI技术水平的提高对中国纺织服装业出口贸易结构优化的促进作用最为明显;其次是出口贸易劳动力水平的提高;最后是出口贸易技术水平的提高。本文最后给出了优化中国纺织服装业出口贸易结构的建议。

In this paper,by constructing a reasonable degree of export trade and export trade structure index,it probes the trend of the evolution of Chinese textile clothing export trade reasonable degree and the structure of export trade. It finds that,in1995 and 2014,Chinese textile clothing export trade reasonable degree index and export trade structure index are falling,and Chinese textile clothing export trade reasonable degree and the export trade structure are deteriorated phenomenon. From the regression analysis,different evaluation index of Chinese textile clothing export trade structure index has significant positive influence. Among them,the rise of the FDI technical level of the Chinese textile clothing export trade is the most obvious of the optimization of Chinese textile clothing export trade structure; the second is the improving of the level of labor export trade; the last is the rise of the technical level of the export trade. Finally,the paper gives the optimization plan of Chinese textile clothing export trade structure.