昌吉州1960～2013年甲乙类传染病动态数列分析

Dynamic sequence analysis on incidence of A and B infectious diseases in Changji prefecture of Xinjiang from 1960 to 2013

目的为了解昌吉州1960-2013年甲乙类传染病发病流行特征和规律,为制定防控措施提供科学依据。方法采用描述性流行病学研究方法。结果昌吉州1960-2013年报告法定甲乙类传染病23种268299例,年平均发病率为460.05/10万,历年来年发病率在37.01/10万-3023.31/10万之间波动,传染病发病呈下降趋势,传染病变化方式及变化速度均有所不同。结论昌吉州1960-2013年传染病总体呈下降趋势,发病呈一定规律性。传染病疫情报告是预防控制传染病的重要前提,今后应继续加强传染病的监测,及时分析疫情,适时调整防控策略。

Objective To understand epidemic feature and occurrence regularity of A and B infectious diseases in Changji prefecture of Xinjiang from 1960 to 2013, and to provide scientific evidence for control strategy. Methods Descriptive epidemiological study method was used. Results From 1960 to 2013,268299 cases of 23 categories of class A and B infectious diseases were reported in Changji, with annual average incidence rate of 460.05/100 000.Over the years, the incidence rate was between 37.01/100000 of 3023.31/100000, the former showed a downward la＇end. Change ways and change rates of infectious diseases were different. Conclusion The incidence of A and B infectious diseases shows a downward trend, the incidence is regular. Infectious disease report is an important prerequisite for the prevention and control of infectious diseases. Surveillance of epidemic situation of infection disease should be reinforced, and epidemic situation should be analyzed promptly for adjustment of control strategies.