基于引力模型分析我国蜂蜜出口的影响因素

The Analysis of Influence Factors of China Honey Export Based on Gravity Model

本文选用已构建的蜂蜜出口贸易引力模型对2010～2014年我国蜂蜜出口贸易的影响因素进行实证分析。研究表明：我国与出口对象国之间的距离、出口对象国的GDP、出口对象国的人口数量、我国与出口对象国之间的双边贸易汇率、我国人口数量对我国蜂蜜的出口影响显著。其中出口对象国的GDP、我国的人口数量与我国蜂蜜出口量呈正相关；我国与出口对象国之间的距离、我国与出口对象国之间的双边贸易汇率、出口对象国人口数量与我国蜂蜜出口量呈负相关；我国蜂蜜的出口价格、GDP以及蜂蜜的产量对我国蜂蜜出口的影响不显著。

This paper chooses built honey export trade gravity model in China from 2010 to 2014 honey demonstration analysis on the influence factors of export trade. Research shows that： the distance between our country and exports, exports of GDP, the population of exports, the bilateral trade between our country and exports the exchange rate, China＇s population has significant effects on the export of honey. Exports of GDP, the population of our country and our country honey exports were positively correlated; The distance between our country and exports, the bilateral trade between our country and exports exchange rates, exports of population and negatively correlated with honey exports in our country; The honey export prices and GDP and the influence of the output of honey export in China was not significant.