全面二孩后的人口问题

Population Problems after the Universal Two- Child Policy

本文在分析全面二孩政策后未来人口趋势的基础上,认为长期低生育率带来的人口坍塌将是中国未来最严峻的挑战。文章论证了人口减少并不能缓解自然资源、环境、城市拥堵等压力,反而拖累这些问题的有效解决,而低生育率带来的人口老化和锐减将严重危害中国的经济发展,对中国的崛起釜底抽薪。文章最后提出了人口政策的宏观目标和具体建议。

Based on an analysis of the future population tendency after the two - child policy in China, this paper concludes that population collapse may pose a severe threat to China due to the low birth rate in the long run. It holds that the decrease in population cannot ease the pressures caused by natural resources, environmental population, traffic congestion in cities, etc. Instead, it may delay the effective addressing of the problems. And the aging population and sharping fall in it will hinder China＇s economic development, and undercut its rise. In the end, this paper puts forward some macro goals and specific suggestions for China＇s population policy.