长三角迈向全球区域的理性分析

The Rational Analysis on Pathway of the Yangtze River Delta towards Global Region

以长三角城市群42个城市从1995年至2015年的演化过程作为研究对象,在既有理论的基础上,选择5组核心指标,分别为经济组(GDP总量、人均GDP)、城镇组(常住人口、城镇化率)、产业组(工业产值、服务业产值)、投资组(固定资产投资总额、外商直接投资额)、智商组(专利总量、万人专利拥有量)构成指标框架,以空间趋势面描述经济社会发展趋势,以空间中心描述其发展均衡程度,以城市能效谱系描述各个城市的竞合组群,并分析出城镇化过程中10项指标之间的相关性,从而梳理出城市群发展状况的现状谱系,从而提出其在发展绩效及空间格局上的问题,指出未来智能城镇化的发展方向。

The paper consists studies on the evolution of the Yangtze River Delta city group from 1995 to 2015 .Based on existing theories, this paper selects five groups of core indicators, namely, the economic group （total GDP, per capita GDP）、urban group （resident population, urbanization rate, industrial Group （total investment in fixed assets, actual utilization of foreign direct investment）、IQ Group（patent quantity, milion patents owned） .With this indicator framework, this paper depicts the spatial trends through economic and social tools, the balanced development through the level of space center , the concurrence relationship through city efficiency and energy spectrum .and finaly analyzes the correlation between the ten indexes in the process of urbanization. The paper sorts out the status of city group development, reveals the problems existing in its development performance and spatial pattern, and indicates the direction for inteligent urbanization development in the future.