吉林省能源消费现状分析及预测研究

Research on the Consumption Demand Analysis and Prediction of Energy in Jilin Province

针对吉林省能源消费结构不合理,资源优势挖掘利用不足等问题,采用能源消费弹性系数法和单位国内生产总值（GDP）能耗法、人均能耗法分别对吉林省能源需求量进行了预测,预计＂十三五＂末年需能源总量为9 572×10^4-10 251×10^4 t,指出优化能源结构与产业结构,降低单位能耗,将是吉林省能源发展战略的核心任务。

In view of the unreasonable structure of energy consumption,and underutilized energy resources in Jilin Province,the methods of energy consuming elastic coefficient,the energy consumption per GDP and per capita energy consumption method were used to predict the energy demand in Jilin Province.The prediction result showed that the sum demand of energy was 9 572×10~4 to 10 251×10~4 tons of standard coal at the end of the 13 th Five-year plan.Optimizing energy structure and industrial structure,reducing unit energy consumption,will be the core task of energy development strategy in Jilin Province.