农户参与农民专业合作组织意愿的影响因素分析——基于Logistic模型

Analysis Influence Factors about Farmers' Willingness to Participate in the Farmers' Professional Cooperative Organization

本文基于内蒙古3个盟市的15个乡村的350户农民进行调研收集的数据,通过建立二元Logistic模型,分析了农户参与农民专业合作组织意愿的影响因素,回归结果显示:受教育年限越低,加入到农民专业合作组织的意愿的概率就越大;农户家庭内的外在关联人员越少,愿意加入到农民专业合作组织的概率就越低;家庭农业年收入越高,农户愿意加入到农民专业合作组织的概率就越大;离中心城市距离越近,农户愿意加入到农民专业合作组织的概率就越低;对于农户来说新技术难题越大,农户愿意加入到农民专业合作组织的概率就越高;农户生产的农产品产品附加值越高,农户愿意加入到农民专业合作组织的意愿就越高。基于有关结论,本文在引导农民专业合作组织健康、持续、稳定发展、农户积极参与农民专业合作组织这种新型农业经营主体等方面从政府角度、农民专业合作组织及农户自身角度提出了政策启示。

This paper collects data from 350 farmers of 15 villages in 3 league cities in Inner Mongolia. Through establishing binary Logistic model, the paper analyzes the influential factors of farmers who are willing to take part in professional farmer cooperatives. The regression result shows that the less farmers get education , the more probable farmers take part in professional farmer cooperatives; the fewer farmers have related people, the less probable farmers participate in professional farmer cooperatives; the more farmers get annual income, the more probable farmers take part in professional farmer cooperatives; the nearer farmers live from the central city, the less probable farmers join in the cooperatives ; the more farmers get technical problems, the more probable farmers take part in professional farmer cooperatives; the higher farmers get additional values of products, the more probable farmers join in the professional farmer cooperatives. Based on the above conclusions, the paper leads professional farmer cooperatives to have a healthy, continuous and steady development, and some implications are given from the perspective of government, professional and farmers themselves.