河南省天然气市场发展潜力及建议

Potentials of natural gas market in Henan province and suggestions

2006-2013年河南省天然气市场消费年均增长率达到15%,但近三年天然气消费基本持平。目前河南省天然气资源供应充足,管道建设较为发达,供应端已不是影响天然气市场发展的主要因素,经济发展速度、天然气与可替代燃料的比价关系、政策落实程度等是影响河南省天然气发展的主要因素。预计2020年河南省天然气市场需求为120亿~143亿立方米,年均增长率16.7%,其中增速最快的为工业燃料,其次为城市燃气。为促进河南省天然气市场发展,建议深入落实大气环境污染防治计划和＂蓝天工程＂实施方案;选择合理的天然气市场切入点;降低天然气供应成本,促使终端价格逐步合理化;加快实现天然气管道镇镇通。

The average annual growth of natural gas consumption in Henan province reached 15% in 2006-2013, but it kept the nearly same over the past three years. Currently natural gas resource supply in Henan province which, with developed pipeline construction, is quite sufficient; the supply-side is not the main factor affecting the development of the natural gas market. The speed of economic growth, the price relations between natural gas and alternative fuels, and policy implementation are the main factors. By 2020, market demand of natural gas in Henan province is expected to reach one range that is from 12 billion to 14.3 billion cubic meters, with average annual growth of 16.7%, which of the fastest growing is industrial fuel and the next for city gas. To promote the development of the natural gas market in Henan province, the paper suggests to deeply implement Atmospheric Pollution Prevention Action Plan and the ＂Blue Sky Project＂ plan; choose a reasonable entry point for natural gas market; reduce cost of natural gas supply and make the terminal prices gradually rationalized; and make the natural gas pipeline accessible for all towns.