由单纯的政治斗争到武力介入与政治斗争并用:俄罗斯在叙利亚问题上的政策转变原因分析

From Pure Political Struggle to the Combined Strategy of Military Fight and Political Struggle: The Causal Analysis of Putin's Policy Shift in the Issue of Syria

2015年9月,普京政府经过几番考虑,最终决定在叙利亚实施武力打击政策,对叙利亚境内的"伊斯兰国"展开大规模空袭。俄罗斯实现出兵的基本目标后,开始在叙利亚实施停战谈判政策,努力促使叙利亚进入和平进程。普京就叙利亚问题做出从武力打击到停战谈判的精心战略运筹,既有维护俄罗斯国家利益的重大现实意义,也有试图通过反恐合作实现同西方国家改善关系的战略目标。然而,随着"伊斯兰国"逐渐瓦解,俄罗斯也渐渐失去与西方国家特别是美国合作的平台,没能全部实现其出兵叙利亚的战略目标。此次俄罗斯在叙利亚问题上以一套强硬的直接出兵与政治斗争并用的组合拳坚决捍卫自己的战略空间,这显现出普京在2012年重掌克里姆林宫后俄罗斯外交的新变化。

In September 2015, Putin government, on second thoughts, finally determined to use military forces to fight Syria and launched a massive air strike on the ＂ISIS＂ in Syria. The Russian government began to put Truce Negotiations policy into place after it realized the basic target of dispatching troops and tried its best to promote Syria into the peace process. From military fighting to truce negotiations, the elaborate strategic operation of Putin shows not only great realistic significance, but also his efforts to make the strategic goal which improves relations with western countries come true through counter-terrorism cooperation. However, with the falling apart of ISIS, Russia gradually lost its platforms for cooperation with western countries especially the United States and failed to realize all of its strategic targets of dispatching troops to Syria. Russia protects its own strategic space with a combination of tough direct military intervention and political struggle in the issue of Syria at this time, and this shows new changes in Russian diplomacy after Putin returned to power in 2012.