“海上丝绸之路”与中国海外军事基地建设评估

The Maritime Silk Road and an Assessment on the Development of Chinese Overseas Military Facilities

2013年"海上丝绸之路"战略性倡议提出后,中国在新加坡以西海域的海上航线安全再度成为焦点。以此为背景,文章就中国在新加坡以西海域发展军事保障基地与建立、扩大军事存在的动机、目标进行了探讨,及从多层次阐释了中国建立海外军事存在面临的多方面约束与挑战。在此基础之上,文章重点聚焦了未来十年中国在新加坡以西海域发展军事基地进行了预测性评估以及就2025年以后的情势进行了展望。文章认为,中国在建立海外军事保障基地方面的态度是务实的,未来这项工程的推进速度上很可能会很慢,而规模上或极具有限性。

The Maritime Lanes have once again been focused since China proposed the strategic initiative of the Maritime Silk Road in 2013. In this context,this paper entails assessing both China's motivation for developing overseas Chinese maritime military facilities and increasing military presence alone the Maritime Silk Road as well as the kinds of constraints China would face in expanding that military presence. With those,the author focuses on the situation of China's expanding military presence and setting overseas maritime military facilities next decade and beyond 2025. It is concluded that China has a very pragmatic approach to this project and in the future the process of this project would be in a slow pace and may be qualitatively limited in nature.