南北方老年人出行行为对比研究

Comparison of the Elderly Travel Behavior in the South and the North of China

为了探索南北方老年人出行行为之间的差异,选取北方城市东营市和南方城市恩平市为研究对象。基于两个城市的居民出行调查数据,对南北方60岁以上老年人群的出行特征进行统计,并进行对比分析。总结了南北方老年人在出行率、出行方式、出行目的以及出行时间上的差异和特点。另外,利用多项Logit模型分别建立南方和北方老年人出行方式选择模型,定量分析南方和北方老年人在出行方式选择的影响因素,并分析两者之间的差异性。研究发现性别、年龄这些个人属性对南北方老年人出行方式选择行为影响不显著,家庭属性对南北方老年人出行方式选择的影响有显著的差异。对于出行时间,则表现出某种出行方式出行时间越长,越不利于老年人选择该种出行方式。

In order to explore the difference of the elderly travel behavior between the south and the north of China,a northern city named Dongying and a southern city named Enping were selected as the research objects.Based on the data of the residents＇ travel survey in two cities,the travel characteristics of the elderly aged over60 were analyzed and compared. The differences of travel rate,travel mode,travel purpose and travel time were analyzed. In addition,the multinomial Logit models of the elderly travel mode choice behavior in the south and the north were established so as to analyze and compare the impact factors of the elderly travel mode choice behavior in these two regions quantitatively. The results indicate that the individual attributes have no significant effect on the elderly travel mode choice behavior,such as gender and age. But the family attributes have significant effect on the elderly travel mode choice behavior. The longer the travel time,the less conducive to the elderly to choose this kind of travel mode.