浅析化学工业园区整体性安全评价

A Brief Analysis of Integrated Safety Assessment of Chemical Industrial Park

基于对近些年化学工业园区内的事故分析,分析国内外化学工业园区发生灾害事故的原因及其机理,汲取国内外预防此类事故发生的经验,特构造出化工园区整体性安全评价体系。根据专家对湖北某化工园区进行打分,分为四个中间层要素和15个准则层要素,并运用层次分析从主客观角度给出权重值和基于客观的蒙特卡罗迭代100000次求标准差的均值权重进行比较,二者权重趋势基本一致,这与实际化工园区实际情况相符,据此得出评价结论,为做好园区安全工作管理和提高园区事故整体安全性控制事故发生具有现实意义。

Based on accident investigation analysis of domestic and international chemical industry park,a analysis of chemical industrial park in China in recent years on the basis of the causes and the mechanism to cause an accident,absorbing domestic and foreign chemical industrial accident experience,establishing the integrity a chemical safety assessment system. According to experts to grade of Hubei some chemical industrial park,is divided into four layer elements and 15 rule layer,and from the point of view of subjective and objective weights is given and the analytic hierarchy process based on monte carlo iterative 100000 times standard deviation of the objective comparing the average weight,trend of the weight,the actual situation and actual chemical industrial park. An the basis of the evaluation conclusion,It has specific guidance recommendations for improving e campus safety management and improving overall safety zone ability.