“互联网+”:颠覆、创新与重构

"Internet+" :Disruption,Innovation and Reconstruction

文章在技术—经济范式分析基础上,构建了"互联网+"对经济增长和结构转型的传导与影响理论模型。分析认为"互联网+"对整个国民经济的效应可以分为颠覆、创新和重构三类。一是重大技术革命颠覆原有技术体系,社会需要一段时间接受适应;二是一旦跨越临界点就会引发大规模的投资需求,全社会要素资源向新技术领域大量集聚,商业模式、市场模式、技术模式创新将不断涌现;三是生活消费方式也将发生重大变化并引发新需求,经济进入新一轮的繁荣和上升阶段,新的经济生态系统逐步形成和不断完善。面对"互联网+"时代发展特征,结合社会正处于在新旧技术经济范式相互冲突和融合的重要时期,文章提出了应对策略,可为"互联网+"政策制定和机关企业应对策略提供参考。

Based on the analysis of tech-economic paradigm, this paper constructs an ＂Internet＋＂ theoretical model which will have impact on economic growth and structural transformation. It is considered that the “Internet＋”effect on the whole national economy should be divided into subversion, innovation and reconstruction. Firstly, the society needs time to accept that important technological revolution subverts the original technical system; secondly, the stepping over of crossing point will cause a massive investment demand that the whole society factor resources will gather at new technosphere, and then business model, market model, and technology model will constantly innovate; thirdly, the pattern of living consumption will change a lot and causes new demand, the economy will step to a new round of economic boom and rising stage, and that will gradually lead to a new economic ecosystem and it will keep improving. Confronting “Internet＋” age development characteristics, this paper puts forward some coping strategies during the major period in which new and old technical and economic paradigm are conficting and integrating each other. It will provide references for policy maker and enterprises to cope with “Internet＋”.